I don’t have much analysis right now. It’s clear that there was a lot of interference in the election, yet I wouldn’t put much stock in the official results just yet. There is going to be arbitration between the Guardian Council, the Assembly of Experts and the Supreme Leader in deciding what is going on. The early numbers seemed to suggest that the counters were picking arbitrary figures and giving the vote as proportioned earlier. A close Ahmadinejad win would have been one thing: this is a landslide, with numerous irregularities, voter intimidation and fraud. Mousavi hasn’t been seen in awhile, with conflicting reports of whether he is in detention or not. His election headquarters was attacked.
I’m going to paste a bunch of links, because that’s the best way I can help anybody inform themselves right now:
http://www.mydd.com/story/2009/6/13/25050/0813#readmore
http://www.stratfor.com/memberships/140066/sitrep/20090612_iran_police_clear_out_mousavis_headquarters_source
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20090612_iran_security_incidents_tehran
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20090612_iran_text_mousavis_speech
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20090612_irans_presidential_election_09_timeline_events
http://www.hindustantimes.com/StoryPage/FullcoverageStoryPage.aspx?sectionName=HomePage&id=af21e71e-4f4a-4138-82f3-8832b14a0e3dIranianpresidentialelection_Special&Headline=Iran’s+election+result+staggers+analysts
http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/06/12/iran_elections_update
